May 16, 2012

Greece banking system is officially bankrupt

The latest opinion polls, as per Credit Suisse, show Syriza soar from 52 seats to a hugely dominant 128 seats.

Greece After Elections - current opinion polls...

Just few hours ago this was the biggest danger to the Eurozone a left party willing to reject the current status quo and repudiate previous contracts.
But things have been moving fast and ECB President Draghi just admitted that while the ECB Governing Council would like Greece to stay, they will not take any further extraordinary measures to save it.

Bloomberg: Draghi Signals ECB Won’t Keep Greece in Euro Area at Any Cost
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi indicated that while his “strong preference” is that Greece stays in the euro area, the bank won’t compromise on its principles to prevent an exit.

The ECB will continue to comply with the mandate of keeping price stability over the medium term in line with treaty provisions and preserving the integrity of our balance sheet,” Draghi said in a speech in Frankfurt today. Since the euro’s founding treaty does not envisage a member state leaving the monetary union, “this is not a matter for the Governing Council to decide,” Draghi said.

The comments are the closest Draghi has come to conceding Greece could leave the euro region. Greece faces a fresh election on June 17 that may boost parties opposed to the conditions of its international bailouts, raising the specter of its exit.

“The Governing Council’s strong preference is that Greece will continue to stay in the euro area,” Draghi said.

What does it mean it became just to clear when Reuters came out with the following piece of news:

From Reuters:
The European Central Bank has stopped monetary policy operations with some Greek banks as they have not been successfully recapitalized, euro zone central bank sources said on Wednesday.

The ECB declined to comment.

The ECB only conducts its refinancing operations with solvent banks. With no access to ECB funds, the banks concerned must go to the Bank of Greece for emergency liquidity assistance (ELA).

It was unclear exactly how many banks were affected.

One person familiar with the matter said four Greek banks' capital was so depleted they were operating with negative equity capital. According to its own rules, the ECB cannot provide liquidity to banks in such a situation.
What it means is that we are practically witnessing an attempt to control the default of Greece and the bankruptcy of its banking system which in a matter of hours or days unless by hook or crook something is implemented will happen.

Greece cannot bailout its banks, we are facing a total collapse of a banking system unless a sudden injection of money will materialize from somewhere.

Eventful days worth being monitored closely not only for Greece but for the entire world economy.

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